Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.533486 0.617472 0.709565 0.817934 0.941856 1.079032 1.242283
2025-06-01 0.387232 0.499513 0.635491 0.811777 1.033732 1.303342 1.655079
2025-06-08 0.298409 0.416821 0.571007 0.785414 1.074645 1.449928 1.972265
2025-06-15 0.264026 0.393196 0.571446 0.833545 1.206925 1.717136 2.464061
2025-06-22 0.217369 0.343004 0.525683 0.808052 1.230306 1.834341 2.758828
2025-06-29 0.181883 0.302517 0.486429 0.783799 1.248254 1.940357 3.042305
2025-07-06 0.154902 0.270481 0.454539 0.764691 1.268721 2.048184 3.334367
2025-07-13 0.139925 0.255350 0.446555 0.780959 1.344087 2.244272 3.777643
2025-07-20 0.131445 0.249785 0.453021 0.820722 1.460252 2.513664 4.360230
2025-07-27 0.121687 0.240427 0.451534 0.846060 1.553696 2.752923 4.912936
2025-08-03 0.110744 0.227268 0.441517 0.854683 1.618085 2.947690 5.405682
2025-08-10 0.099668 0.212247 0.426121 0.851306 1.659779 3.105461 5.845688
2025-08-17 0.088647 0.196085 0.407142 0.839958 1.687306 3.243508 6.268738
2025-08-24 0.079449 0.182411 0.391408 0.833179 1.722933 3.399844 6.740350
2025-08-31 0.069437 0.165511 0.367042 0.806130 1.715832 3.474985 7.065210
2025-09-07 0.067627 0.166393 0.379396 0.855459 1.865437 3.860964 8.016761
2025-09-14 0.059567 0.151866 0.357192 0.829331 1.857745 3.938743 8.370557
2025-09-21 0.052613 0.138895 0.336744 0.804473 1.849722 4.014237 8.724675
2025-09-28 0.046873 0.128010 0.319614 0.784888 1.850671 4.107327 9.121290
2025-10-05 0.044121 0.124226 0.318456 0.801563 1.932884 4.376209 9.905993
2025-10-12 0.043032 0.124598 0.327207 0.842317 2.073066 4.779372 11.007668
2025-10-19 0.041124 0.122512 0.329701 0.868286 2.181526 5.122099 12.004515
2025-10-26 0.038448 0.117931 0.325415 0.877123 2.250460 5.382792 12.840297